Trey Lance

Trey Lance Scouting Report

  • Watched: Delaware (2019), Northern Iowa (2019), South Dakota State (2019), James Madison (2019), Central Arkansas (2020)
  • Pros:
    • Experienced calling protections at the line of scrimmage.
    • Taking snaps under center is a featured part of the offense.
    • Makes full field reads with adequate speed and knows where his checkdowns are.
    • Best in the class in terms of selling play-action whether it’s from under center or shotgun.
    • Flashes of getting the ball out with good anticipation.
    • Does a nice job of protecting the football while still being willing to thread the needle when he needs to.
    • Physically powerful runner with good body control, bounces off arm tackles and bends around pass rushers with ease.
    • Can throw the fastball as well as throwing with touch, though still figuring out when to do each.
    • Will be 20 years old the night of the draft.
  • Cons:
    • The least accurate of the main five QBs in this class by a comfortable margin.
    • Consistently puts too much air under his deep ball; they generally come up short but has his fair share of overthrows as well.
    • A lot of room for improvement with his footwork; his feet don’t move as quickly as his eyes and upper body do and seems to not care about his footwork on screens at all.
    • Not the kind of QB to slide and reset the pocket; if he feels the pass rush coming and isn’t ready to throw yet, he’s taking off.
  • General:
    • Some of the weirdest footwork out of the shotgun that I’ve ever seen; almost looks like he thinks the play has been blown dead for the first few seconds of the play before he wakes up.
  • Overall Take: 
    • Pro-readiness: 2nd (out of 8)
    • Potential: 3rd
    • Overall: 3rd
    • Number Grade (out of 100): 86
    • Trey Lance has drawn a lot of comparisons to Josh Allen and it’s not hard to see why. Like Allen, Lance is a big, athletic QB that played in a pro-style, run-heavy offense against a lower level of competition than most of the other top-tier QB prospects did. Like Allen, Trey showed the ability to read the full field, take snaps under center, and make every throw you could want from your QB. And like Allen, Trey battled accuracy issues in college, particularly with the deep ball. I would give Lance the edge as a runner; he’s a little bit faster and runs just as hard. I’d give Allen the edge as a passer; Lance has a strong arm but it’s not Josh Allen strong and I actually think Allen was more accurate in college than Lance was. Lance has a significant edge in terms of his decision-making though; he did a great job of protecting the football while still letting it rip on occasion. Of the 100 passes that I charted, I have Lance marked down with just four interceptable passes; that 4% rate ties him with Mac Jones for the best in the class so far. Like Allen, Lance will need to improve his footwork and accuracy if he wants to become a top-tier QB in the NFL, but I think he’s more pro-ready than people think due to his ability to read defenses and hurt them with his legs. Those two things will give him a chance for early success even while he’s developing as a passer.
  • NFL Comparisons:
    • Most Likely Comp: Mini 2018-19 Josh Allen
    • Peak Comp: Mini 2020 Josh Allen